Stanbic Bank’s PMI shows decline in economic activities due to COVID-19

Stanbic Bank’s PMI shows decline in economic activities due to COVID-19

The imposition of a 42-day lockdown in Uganda to try and slow the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic impacted negatively on business conditions in June. Falls were seen in output, new orders and employment, while companies lowered their selling prices to try and attract business (PHOTO /Courtesy) Key findings

• COVID-19 lockdown causes a decline in business conditions
• Output down amid lower new orders
• Lack of work leads to drop in employment
• Restrictions on travel resulted in longer delivery times
• Charges lowered to stimulate demand

KAMPALA —The monthly Stanbic Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) dropped to 34.9 in June from 56.5 in May attributed to government’s lockdown measures that were announced to tame the spread of COVID-19.

The reading signalled deterioration in business conditions for the first time in five months, and was below the series average of 52.8.

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Sponsored by Stanbic Bank and produced by IHS Markit, the monthly survey involves a questionnaire to some 400 purchasing managers and has been conducted since June 2016.

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It covers the sectors of agriculture, industry, construction, wholesale & retail and services. The headline PMI figure provides an early indication of operating conditions in Uganda.

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It is a composite index, calculated as a weighted average of five individual sub-components composed of New Orders (30%); Output (25%); Employment (20%); Suppliers’ Delivery Times (15%) and Stocks of Purchases (10%).
Readings above 50.0 signal an improvement in business conditions on the previous month, while readings below 50.0 show deterioration.According to the June index, the imposition of a 42-day lockdown in the country impacted negatively on business conditions across the private sector. Falls were seen in output, new orders and employment, while companies lowered their selling prices to try and attract business.Falling customer numbers meant a lack of new orders, while business activity also declined. Reductions in output and new orders were seen across each of the five sectors covered by the survey.Ronald Muyanja, the Head of Trading at Stanbic Bank Uganda said, with workloads down amid the lockdown, companies scaled back their employment and purchasing activity, in both cases for the first time in five months.The reduction in employment meant that staff costs also fell according to Muyanja.“Restrictions on travel meanwhile resulted in longer suppliers’ delivery times, lower input buying and delays in the delivery of materials fed through to a reduction in inventories,” he said. Meanwhile, companies lowered their selling prices as part of efforts […]

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